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Presidential opinion polls put Biden way ahead of Trump

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Former Vice President Joe Biden leads president Donald Trump by 13 points nationally, according to the latest Quinnipiac University survey.

In a national head-to-head matchup, the poll found Biden taking 53% against 40% for Trump, with the poll’s assistant director describing it as a “landslide” margin.

Five other Democratic contenders also lead the president: Senators Bernie Sanders (I-Vt), Kamala Harris (D-Calif) and Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass) hold healthy leads over Trump, with Sanders up by nine points, Harris ahead by 8 and Warren leading by seven.

South Bend, Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg (D) and Sen Cory Booker (D-New Jersey) lead Trump by five points, with each posting a 47 to 42 split.

“It’s a long 17 months to Election Day, but Joe Biden is ahead by landslide proportions,” said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

Biden’s double-digit lead over Trump is largely driven by the gender gap. The former vice president edges Trump 47% to 46 among men.

But among women, Biden leads by 26 points, 60 to 34.

Similarly, white voters are split evenly between the two, with Trump at 47% and Biden at 46.

But Biden leads 85 to 12 among black voters and 58 to 33 among Hispanics.

Both candidates surpass 90% support from within their own parties, but independents break for Biden by a 58 to 28 margin.

National polls are not necessarily the best indicator for a general election, which will be fought in a handful of swing states.

In 2020, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin will be the primary battlegrounds.

Trump became the first GOP nominee since 1988 to win those three states.

If the rest of the 2016 map stays the same but Democrats are able to win those back, they’ll win the Electoral College.

Author

Milton Nyakundi

Milton Nyakundi is a veteran multimedia journalist with over 20 years of experience across broadcast, digital, and print media, who relocated to the United States in 2022 and is now the Senior International Correspondent for Kurunzi News based in Washington, DC, USA. He has previously worked with the Kenya Broadcasting Corporation (KBC), among other high-profile roles with Kenya's first privately-owned media outlet - Kenya Television Network. His experience also include prominent roles as Media Consultant for Football Kenya Federation (FKF), and StarTimes Kenya. His career spans high‑stakes political reporting covering legislative and constitutional issues, elections, governance, and accountability across Kenya, Africa, and global arenas. He also boasts extensive sports journalism experience, covering local and international sports events, including leagues, tournaments and sports governance. He is well-known for his investigative depth, editorial leadership, and evidence-driven journalism that guides his consistent delivery of public‑interest storytelling across platforms.

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